Tuesday, April 28, 2009

The Straw Poll that Could Break Walker’s Back

Last week I asked readers a simple question, "Who will win the Wispolitics straw poll at the Republican convention?" For me, it is a very interesting question and I even set up a simple online poll asking it. Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker has been running for governor since before he was even elected in 2002. He already has one failed attempt under his belt after losing to a very weak former congressman. The big question is whether all of his endless jockeying will give him any real advantage in a Republican primary. As far as I can tell, so far the answer is an embarrassing "no".

When asked who would win the GOP straw poll this coming weekend, my "super scientific" poll had Walker and Neumann tied at 37 percent. This even though Neumann has only recently begun talking like a candidate. While mine is admittedly just a silly online poll, the closeness of the numbers between Walker and Neumann seem to be an actual reality. A right wing poll showed both Walker and Neumann losing in a hypothetical race against Governor Doyle by the same margin. Given the time that Walker has put into his endless quest, I think that those numbers look pretty pathetic.

Although we all knew that he was going to run again after his failed 2006 attempt, today Scott Walker "officially" announced his candidacy for governor. With all of the free press that he will surly get for this non-event, how pathetic would it be if only days later he ends up losing the straw poll at the GOP convention (and to a guy that has yet to formally announce)? Who knows, the party faithful could wholeheartedly get behind him, but if it is close or if he loses it could end up being the straw poll the broke Scott Walker's back.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Walker is running like it is 2002--before the economy went into a landslide and when everyone was afraid of taxing the rich--because many thought someday they would be rich. At least Neuman doesn't have much of a record. That has got to be a big plus compared to Walker's many failures in Milwaukee. I just hope he keeps track of foreclosure and unemployment rates in the parts of the state he visits.

Zach W. said...

Scott Walker's in trouble once the Republican campaign heats up, because I'm willing to bet support from the rest of Wisconsin (besides SE Wisconsin) just won't be there for him.

Anonymous said...

"When asked who would win the GOP straw poll this coming weekend, my "super scientific" poll had Walker and Neumann tied at 37 percent. This even though Neumann has only recently begun talking like a candidate. While mine is admittedly just a silly online poll, the closeness of the numbers between Walker and Neumann seem to be an actual reality."


ROTFLMAO!!!

Okay, back to reality. Here are the results of the WisPolitics straw poll.

Grassroots activists preferred Walker over Neumann by a margin of 93.4 to 5.9%

Does that sound like a tie to anyone here?

"More than 150 current and former local and state party leaders are backing the Milwaukee County executive in his bid for the 2010 party nomination, Walker's campaign announced.

That includes about three of every four county chairs and two-thirds of the state executive committee, the campaign said.

On Friday, the campaign announced that 46 of 61 current Republican state lawmakers are endorsing Walker."

Hmmm . . . sorry folks, no blood bath here.

Cory Liebmann said...

relax...it was just a silly online poll. i could care a less who wins between walker and neumann. the point being made in this blog posting is not about who is going to win the straw poll...it was if walker lost it that it would be a pretty bad sign for him(after his nonstop campaigning).

again, I couldn't care a less about which right winger wins the primary...but if I were you I wouldn't get too cocky just yet.